Friday, September 14, 2012

Day 8 - Team J (Ankit Agrawal)

Pareto principle.

Also known as the 80–20 rule states that, for many events, roughly 80% of the effects come from 20% of the causes.

In practically every industrial country a small proportion of all the factories employ a disproportionate number of factory operatives. In some countries 15 percent of the firms employ 70 percent of the people. This same state of affairs is repeated time after time. In retailing for example, one usually finds that up to 80 percent of the turnover is accounted for by 20 percent of the lines.
This effect, known as the 80 : 20 rule, can be observed in action so often that it seems to be almost a universal truth. As several economists have pointed out, at the turn of the century the bulk of the country’s wealth was in the hands of a small number of people.
This fact gave rise to the Pareto effect or Pareto’s law: a small proportion of causes produce a large proportion of results. Thus frequently a vital few causes may need special attention wile the trivial many may warrant very little. It is this phrase that is most commonly used in talking about the Pareto effect – ‘the vital few and the trivial many’. A vital few customers may account for a very large percentage of total sales. A vital few taxes produce the bulk of total revenue. A vital few improvements can produce the bulk of the results.
The Pareto effect is named after Vilfredo Pareto, an economist and sociologist who lived from 1848 to 1923. Originally trained as an engineer he was a one time managing director of a group of coalmines. Later he took the chair of economics at Lausanne University, ultimately becoming a recluse. Mussolini made him a senator in 1922 but by his death in 1923 he was already at odds with the regime. Pareto was an elitist believing that the concept of the vital few and the trivial many extended to human beings.
Observing the Pareto Principle in Action
Here are some 80/20 rule applications:

   Does 20 percent of your sales force produce 80 percent of revenues?
   Do 20 percent of your products account for 80 percent of product sales?
   Do 80 percent of your visitors see only 20 percent of your Web site pages?
   Do 80 percent of delays arise from 20 percent of the possible causes of delay?
   Do 80 percent of customer complaints arise from 20 percent of your products or services?

We all waste lots of time on trivial, repetitive tasks. That often means people are kept busy whether it is important or not, equipment is running whether needed or not, sales are made whether they are profitable or not.

Is the assertion that a small number of events produce the majority of results valid? It may not be a hard rule with a fixed ratio, but the observation has merit:

   A handful of customers out of many produces the bulk of revenues.
   A handful of products out of many items in a line produces the bulk of orders.
   A handful of salespeople out of many produces the majority of new business.
   A handful of scientists produces most research and development innovations.
   Most grievances come from a few employees, and most absenteeism can be narrowed down to specific individuals.
   Most accidents occur in clearly identifiable groups.
   Truly poor (or great) performance is achieved by a few easily identifiable individuals.

The Pareto chart
A Pareto chart is a graphical representation that displays data in order of priority. It can be a powerful tool for identifying the relative importance of causes, most of which arise from only a few of the processes, hence the 80:20 rule. Pareto Analysis is used to focus problem solving activities, so that areas creating most of the issues and difficulties are addressed first.
Some problems
Difficulties associated with Pareto Analysis.
  •  Misrepresentation of the data.
  • Inappropriate measurements depicted.
  • Lack of understanding of how it should be applied to particular problems.
  •  Knowing when and how to use Pareto Analysis.
  • Inaccurate plotting of cumulative percent data.

 Overcoming the difficulties
  •        Define the purpose of using the tool.
  •        Identify the most appropriate measurement parameters.
  •         Use check sheets to collect data for the likely major causes.
  •         Arrange the data in descending order of value and calculate % frequency and/or cost and cumulative percent.
  •        Plot the cumulative percent through the top right side of the first bar.

   The 80/20 rule for business planning and decision analysis.

               For today’s business leaders, the old axiom “knowledge is power” should probably be amended to say “knowledge is power ONLY IF it reflects a strong understanding of real-time information, enables meaningful foresight, and results in prudent business decisions”. 

More and more, companies are making significant investments in business intelligence systems and services to ensure that executives, line managers, and individual contributors alike have access to, can make sense of, and can act upon the most granular data relevant to their day-to-day operations. This data is analyzed and compiled in executive dashboards reflecting key performance indicators (KPIs) and used to update driver-based forecasts with the overall aim of providing proactive and precise support for critical business decisions. Unfortunately, what often results is analysis paralysis. too many variables, not enough insight, and an inability to distinguish the forest from the trees.  No matter how sophisticated or crude a company’s analytical capabilities may be, knowing what to focus on and what not to, ultimately determines success or failure. 
In a sense, simplicity is always best.  There may be hundreds of variables impacting a business at any given time but effective business leaders typically focus on only a small handful of key drivers. As any decent golf instructor will tell you, the best players limit their thoughts to two or three basic mechanics before striking the ball and rely on muscle memory to do the rest. 
Similarly, most successful business leaders will tell you that 20 percent of the key drivers produce 80 percent of the results. Knowing how to eliminate the other 80 percent of variables with marginal impact is critical to robust business planning and strong decision making.
Posted by,
Ankit Agrawal
(Team J)

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