Sunday, September 16, 2012

Day 10 Team C-Sahiti


Towards the fag end of course, we dealt with teo concepts yesterday: Discriminant Analysis 
& Conjoint Analysis.


· Discriminant analysis is a statistical procedure which allows us to classify cases in separate categories to which they belong on the basis of a set of characteristic independent variables called predictors or discriminant variables.

· The target variable (the one determining allocation into groups) is a qualitative (nominal or ordinal) one, while the characteristics are measured by quantitative variables.


Purpose:
        The main purpose of a discriminant function analysis is to predict group membership based on a linear combination of the interval variables. The procedure begins with a set of observations where both group membership and the values of the interval variables are known. The end result of the procedure is a model that allows prediction of group membership when only the interval variables are known.
         A second purpose of discriminant function analysis is an understanding of the data set, as a careful examination of the prediction model that results from the procedure can give insight into the relationship between group membership and the variables used to predict group membership.

Examples:
         A graduate admissions committee might divide a set of past graduate students into two groups: students who finished the program in five years or less and those who did not. Discriminant function analysis could be used to predict successful completion of the graduate program based on GRE score and undergraduate grade point average. Examination of the prediction model might provide insights into how each predictor individually and in combination predicted completion or non-completion of a graduate program.
         Another example might predict whether patients recovered from a coma or not based on combinations of demographic and treatment variables. The predictor variables might include age, sex, general health, time between incident and arrival at hospital, various interventions, etc. In this case the creation of the prediction model would allow a medical practitioner to assess the chance of recovery based on observed variables. The prediction model might also give insight into how the variables interact in predicting recovery.


Conjoint analysis attempts to determine the relative importance consumers attach to salient attributes and the utilities they attach to the levels of attributes. 
The respondents are presented with stimuli that consist of combinations of attribute levels and asked to evaluate these stimuli in terms of their desirability. 
Conjoint procedures attempt to assign values to the levels of each attribute, so that the resulting values or utilities attached to the stimuli match, as closely as possible, the input evaluations provided by the respondents.
Advantages:
·      Estimates psychological tradeoffs that consumers make when evaluating several attributes together
·      Measures preferences at the individual level
·      Uncovers real or hidden drivers which may not be apparent to the respondent themselves
·      Realistic choice or shopping task
·      Able to use physical objects
·      If appropriately designed, the ability to model interactions between attributes can be used to develop needs based segmentation
Disadvantages:
             ·         Designing conjoint studies can be complex
             ·         With too many options, respondents resort to simplification strategies
             ·         Difficult to use for product positioning research because there is no procedure for         
                   converting perceptions about actual features to perceptions about a reduced set of 
                   underlying features
             ·         Respondents are unable to articulate attitudes toward new categories, or may feel  
                   forced to think about issues they would otherwise not give much thought to
             ·         Poorly designed studies may over-value emotional/preference variables and undervalue
                   concrete variables
             ·        Does not take into account the number items per purchase so it can give a poor    
                   reading of market share





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